5 Investment Trends The Smart Money Is Chasing | Phil Shalala

The smartest family money has quietly moved beyond the headlines—they’re not trying to pick the next unicorn or time the market. Instead, they’re backing defensible businesses with defensible operators that take time to build properly, which happens to be exactly what family offices do best.

Here’s what’s changed: traditional investment avenues like IPOs have lost their appeal as valuations shifted and upside potential has diminished. Meanwhile, the number of single family offices has grown 31% in just five years, now controlling $5.9 trillion worldwide. These investors have figured out something crucial—that their biggest advantage isn’t speed, it’s patience and backing deep domain expertise. They can build businesses over decades and have optionality for shorter term exits while everyone else is optimizing for quarterly returns.

Sports: Beyond The Headlines
Forget buying NBA teams—that game is over for most family offices. The real action is happening in minor leagues and emerging sports. Silver Lake has been quietly assembling portfolios of minor league baseball teams, while new institutional investors like Arctos are targeting similar opportunities, validating an entire asset class beyond traditional team ownership. Sure, Ryan Reynolds and Eva Longoria have used their star power to shine a light on underappreciated assets (and create more buzz for themselves), but it is offbeat investments in emerging assets like padel, pickleball, women’s flag football, sailing, and the Global Fight League that are likely to produce returns for family offices in the future.

The Savannah Bananas proved that creative marketing and fan engagement can transform traditional sports entertainment into something worth tens of millions. Family offices are now actively seeking similar franchise opportunities that can be scaled across multiple markets. In addition, the entire NIL revolution in college athletics has created investment categories that didn’t exist five years ago, and those categories are likely to continue to expand.

AI: Tools, Not Infrastructure
While everyone debates which AI company will dominate, family offices are quietly backing the tools being built on top of the foundational models. They can’t compete with Google or OpenAI’s infrastructure spend (who can?), but they don’t need to. The real money going forward is in specialized coding assistants, marketing automation platforms and content creation tools that have clearer paths to revenue and don’t require massive capital investments.

These tool companies solve specific problems for specific industries—reducing operating costs and empowering employees to become far more efficient—exactly the kind of focused businesses that family offices can understand, support and scale over time. After all, these family offices are built on the types of businesses targeted by these emerging technologies.

Spirits: The Long Game On Agave
Tequila gets the headlines, but savvy family offices are looking at emerging niches like the California agave spirits movement and Mezcal. These sectors offer exposure to the broader premium spirits trend without competing for overvalued celebrity brands.

California’s climate matches Mexico’s agave-growing regions, and consumers are increasingly drawn to quality agave spirits that aren’t bound by traditional “tequila” regulations. The regulatory environment actually favors quality over marketing-driven labeling, creating opportunities for patient investors willing to build brands over years rather than quarters. The disconnect over tariffs right now only plays into this trend.

The non-alcoholic spirits category represents similar capital opportunities, as consumers seek sophisticated alternatives and align with the wellness lifestyle while commanding premium pricing.

Wellness: Platform Products Over Fads
Forget chasing supplement trends and pre and post biotic sodas. Family offices are backing wellness strategies that start with one exceptional product and systematically expand their lines. This “platform product” approach matches family office timelines – building sustainable brands over years rather than chasing quick wins in crowded weight loss markets.

The key is companies that understand their customers deeply enough, and have earned enough trust, to introduce new products that feel natural, not desperate. Recovery tools, specialized nutrition, and holistic wellness approaches that can grow into comprehensive lifestyle brands. But that play takes time, strategy and operational know how, which doesn’t quite jibe with the instant gratification of the TikTok generation.

Entertainment: The Engagement Economy
Gaming and creator platforms represent unique opportunities to leverage the infrastructure that enables others to monetize audiences directly. Rather than betting on individual games or creators, family offices are investing in the platforms and tools that support entire ecosystems.

Epic’s Fortnite has proven that gaming platforms can become legitimate brand integration opportunities, creating new revenue streams beyond traditional advertising models. The companies building these creator economy tools are positioned to benefit regardless of which specific games or creators succeed—they are accruing digital real estate across the entire gaming universe.

The Common Thread
All of these opportunities share something crucial: they require patience and operational expertise rather than just capital. They’re businesses that need to be built over time, which plays directly to family office strengths. While traditional venture funds optimize for quick exits and hedge funds chase quarterly returns, family offices can take the long view—building sustainable businesses that generate returns for decades.

No one will argue with a quick win, but this isn’t about finding the next quick flip. It’s about understanding that the best investment opportunities often take years to fully develop, and family offices are uniquely positioned to capitalize on that timing mismatch. Insert historical and proven business leaders with a vision and proven experience, and the risk is mitigated.
If you think about it, the best hedge funds, VC funds, PE funds, etc., are all closed to new investors, and every family office has a financial advisor to handle the liquid securities portfolios which are always going to be the cornerstone—alongside the family business if it still exists. The question is, how do you generate outsized returns using all the advantages you have as a family office, and do so in a way that is also a heck of a lot of fun.

https://www.fa-mag.com/news/5-investment-trends-the-smart-money-is-chasing-84221.html

https://www.fa-mag.com/news/5-investment-trends-the-smart-money-is-chasing-84221.html